About that claim in the NYT that the immigration issue helped Hillary Clinton? The numbers don’t seem to add up.
Posted 10 days ago (via andrewgelman.com)
Today I noticed an op-ed by two political scientists, Howard Lavine and Wendy Rahm, entitled, “What if Trump’s Nativism Actually Hurts Him?”: Contrary to received wisdom, however, the immigration issue did not play to Mr. Trump’s advantage nearly as much as commonly believed. According to our analysis of national survey data from the American National […] The post About that