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digs
Permanent link - Posted 7 days ago (via rjlipton.wordpress.com)
An old result put a new way (in a now-fixed-up post) Albert Meyer knows circuit lower bounds. He co-authored a paper with the late Larry Stockmeyer that proves that small instances of the decision problem of a certain weak second-order logical theory require Boolean circuits with more gates than there are atoms in the observable […]...
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digs
Permanent link - Posted 7 days ago (via andrewgelman.com)
StanCon2018 is shaping up nicely as a unique opportunity to immerse oneself in all things Stan, meet Stan developers and fellow users. Registration is still open, but spots are filling up fast. We’re at 130 registrants and counting! The draft schedule is now up. We have 16 accepted talks and 6 invited talks. Posters are […] The post StanCon2018: one month to go, schedule finalized, ove...
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digs
Permanent link - Posted 7 days ago (via andrewgelman.com)
You really don’t want to miss Chi Feng‘s absolutely wonderful interactive demos. (1) Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling I believe this is exactly what Andrew was asking for a few Stan meetings ago: Chi Feng’s Interactive MCMC Sampling Visualizer This tool lets you explore a range of sampling algorithms including random-walk Metropolis, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, […] The post I...
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digs
Permanent link - Posted 7 days ago (via andrewgelman.com)
A commmenter points to a chapter of E. T. Jaynes’s book on probability and inference that contains the following amazing bit: The information we get from the TV evening news is not that a certain event actually happened in a certain way it is that some news reporter has claimed that it did. Even seeing […] The post Ed Jaynes outta control! appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal...
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digs
Permanent link - Posted 7 days ago (via andrewgelman.com)
“Hey, remember me?  I’ve been busy working like crazy” – Fever Ray I’m at the Banff International Research Station (BIRS) for the week, which is basically a Canadian version of Disneyland where during coffee breaks a Canadian woman with a rake politely walks around telling elk to “shoo”. The topic of this week’s workshop isn’t […] The post A...
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digs
Permanent link - Posted 7 days ago (via andrewgelman.com)
Science writer Julie Rehmeyer discusses her own story: Five years ago, against practically anyone’s better judgment, I knowingly abandoned any semblance of medical evidence to follow the bizarre-sounding health advice of strangers on the internet. The treatment was extreme, expensive, and potentially dangerous. If that sounds like a terrible idea to you, imagine how it […] The post “...
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digs
Permanent link - Posted 7 days ago (via andrewgelman.com)
I’m getting my computer repaired and so will be offline for a few days, won’t be reading or sending email or reading blog comments. The blog will auto-post, though, one per day, with already-scheduled material: “How to Assess Internet Cures Without Falling for Dangerous Pseudoscience” Ed Jaynes outta control! A reporter sent me a Jama […] The post Offline appeared first on St...
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Permanent link - Posted 7 days ago (via andrewgelman.com)
My reply: Thanks for sending. I can’t be sure about everything they’re doing but the paper looks reasonable to me. I expect there are various ways that the analysis could be improved, but on a quick look I don’t see anything obviously wrong with it, and the authors seem to know what they are doing. […] The post A reporter sent me a Jama paper and asked me what I thought . ....
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digs
Permanent link - Posted 12 days ago (via flowingdata.com)
Data can provide you with important information, but when the collection process is flawed, there’s not much you can do. Ken Schwencke, reporting for ProPublica, researched the tiered system that…Tags: crime, missing data, ProPublica...
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digs
Permanent link - Posted 12 days ago (via blog.computationalcomplexity.org)
Fireside chat with Dick Karp Above link is Samir Khuller interviewing Dick Karp, though its labelled as a fireside chat with Dick Karp. Very interesting to hear how TCS has evolved. More generally its good to know where you've come from to have a better idea of where you're going. bill g....
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